I discussed this and numerous other topics regarding the state of the economy and the country in an interview last night.
When I retired I took half my pension in cash to buy my house and the other half in monthly payments. It is a state pension so it might be the last to fold but it looks like that might have been a wise decision.
What is often getting overlooked in the UK pension meltdown is the use by the pension funds of a niche derivative product "liability-driven investing" (LDI).
Yes, derivatives are still the same weapons of mass financial destruction in 2022 as they were in 2007 and 2008.
The US derivative market amounts to about $200 Trillion notional value, which means that as Powell raises interest rates, margin calls and refinancing costs rise accordingly, forcing either defaults or liquidations--precipitating the liquidity crisis the BoE is hoping to prevent with their buying of 30-year gilts. The Powell obsession with the Volcker playbook on fighting inflation very likely means the policy of kicking the debt can down the road has finally run out of road.
The sad irony is that Powell's use of Volcker's tactics aren't even working on inflation. We're getting the liquidity crisis AND the demand destruction AND the inflation all in one go.
Nothing like when a pension fund, a promise for a safe future, can't deliver... TODAY
When people finally understand all the paper or lets be honest - digital promises have no future value, there will be a mad rush for tangibles that do.
I think in the 2008 collapse and forced public indemnificatIon of Blackrock when Hank Paulson was running around the Whitehose with his hair on fire rambling "tanks in the streets" was because many (all?) brokerages had been gambling with their customers IRAs and 401ks and lost their customers assets (even though the owners of those assets couldnt gamble with those securities) which is shy the ($7T) bailout had to be made, I presume congress hasn't changed the rules to preclude that after the bailout, am I correct how the system works? This collapse will be far worse than 2008, we have 5X more mortgage debt plus more auto debt plus more student loan debt unless all those autos are gonna go 300k-400k miles and FJBs student loan bailout will work and all those middle income idiots that paid 1-2-3 million dollars for a home pay them off before they get fired.
I hope to God your vaccine card is fake.
I think Europe will be the catalyst for the whole thing to crash. Deindustrialisation of Europe, which is well underway now, will crash the euro, no matter how much money is printed, you can’t print energy.
Today, I picked up laundry detergent and, what do you know, the price went up as the size has shrunk. Many people don't remember, back in the 1990's, when pizza parlors decided to scrap the "real" 18" large/8 slice pizza, for one size using the small 16"/6 slice pizza as the new large, and slicing the six slices into 8. They did this to save money only buying the small pizza boxes, and because they're profit margin was being squeezed. Apparently, they've never gone back. I do notice they still make the large 8 slice pies, to serve when slices are ordered.
Mr. Irons, you sound exactly like the comedian David Cross. I find this to be a Good Thing and believe you should use it. Wouldn't take much to push all this Modern Monetary Theory into the realm of Voltaire.
I may be behind the curve but I hold 1st trust deed notes paying 9-12 percent, I shorted the S and P at 4100, and will soon just cash out everything. I am hoping when it all fails, I can buy assets at a deep discount.
Please Chris, please tell me you don’t support last minute/post birth abortion rights.
That groovy lib you do you and I’ll do me is a monstrous bromide that has led to this point. Last minute and post.
I’m a conservatarian and rabid tenther. Let the states decide. If you don’t like it you’re free to move to California or Vermont or nyc. But your so called abortion rights are a federally enforced mandate to be paid for by me.
Please do not worry.Pensions are collapsing in dollar-denominated countries around the world,ya Japan too.Fundamentally do not rely on public funds and accumulate privates.
CIOs are able to take on leverage? I thought they were in charge of the information infrastructure. Wouldn’t it be the CFOs or CEOs doing that?
Dynamics vs the UK are quite different. LDIs, for example. In the US, you’ll want to watch corporate loans, specifically floating junk bonds. Pensions are not the issue LOL