At some point the idea of repeating the same thing over and over again might seem like laziness, claptrap, or an inability to change one’s stance as facts change. I have been tormented by this idea as I pen article after article justifying why I am still bearish on the overall market.
This week we’ll get the all-important CPI number - a piece of macroeconomic data that everybody is looking toward for direction on where markets are going to head into the end of the year - and maybe start 2023. The thought process is generally that if the number is lower than expected, stocks will move higher - and if the number is higher than expected, stocks will move lower on the Fed having an impetus to stay hawkish. My take is a little different from this “mainstream” one.