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Triple Cheddar's avatar

Yesterday’s decision will go down as one of the biggest policy errors in US history. It will likely be more consequential than the presidential elections, and most people haven’t a clue.

Policy makers need to seriously reevaluate how we structure our corporate boards and regional fed advisory boards. What financial institution CEO can ethically recommend an end to low rates, when doing so would blow a hole in their balance sheet? How about scaling back the BTFP? The FHLB lending program?

erik bjorseth's avatar

In 2022-23 we actually saw M2 tick down, granted not a lot - but it was actually negative. Well that did not last long as we have seen M2 trend higher again in 2024. Now we will see interest rates come down and we will see people leverage back up and round 2 of inflation.

The baby boomers will mostly be ok - good percentage have their houses paid off and have accumulated enough money to survive.

The next 3 generations are going to be FUCKED. People are not saving, living paycheck to paycheck. I was doing a 401k review yesterday - company with 200 employees. Only 6 of 200 will have enough money to actually retire. Was talking to some middle management people (making $100K+ living in Iowa) - worrying about never being able to retire, the one person referenced having 3 boys and she averages $450 / week on groceries.

When round 2 of inflation comes in the next 24 months - it is going to be crippling.

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